Runcorn Town FC vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
63.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PON
3 - 2
RUN
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 2
RUN
86%
10%
3%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
RUN
2 - 3
NOR
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
RUN
3 - 0
BAC
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RUN
2 - 5
NOR
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 2
LLA
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
POR
3 - 2
DEN
30%
23%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
3 - 2
PEN
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 3
DEN
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
4 - 1
FLI
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |