Runcorn Linnets vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 3
RUN
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
RUN
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
OUF
2 - 2
RUN
39%
23%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
TAD
1 - 0
RUN
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RUN
4 - 0
KEN
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WID
2 - 3
PON
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PON
2 - 0
GLO
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PON
1 - 0
RUN
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PON
4 - 1
PIC
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
MOS
3 - 1
PON
20%
19%
61%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -3 |