Union Saint-Gilloise II vs Waremme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
16º
14º
19
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 51 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 2
WAR
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAN
3 - 0
SGI
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SGI
4 - 0
SOL
46%
21%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TUB
0 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 3
JET
59%
20%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Waremme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 3
STO
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
JET
2 - 1
WAR
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 0
NAM
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BIN
3 - 0
WAR
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WAR
4 - 0
HAM
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +7 |