Ixelles vs Perwez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
15º
13º
66
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ixelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RIX
2 - 1
NSB
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TUB
3 - 2
RIX
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
KOS
3 - 2
RIX
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIX
2 - 1
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
RIX
2 - 1
SPO
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
RFC
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MEU
1 - 1
RFC
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TIE
0 - 1
RFC
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 0
CIN
31%
20%
49%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |