FC Rouen 1899 vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
1º
34
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 1
FCR
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCR
26%
27%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FCR
1 - 2
POI
60%
23%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLO
0 - 2
FCR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
FCR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 3
POI
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BLO
2 - 0
GUI
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 1
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASB
3 - 2
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |