Rothes vs Lossiemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
16º
10º
26
10º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
BAN
30%
23%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 0
KEI
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 4
BUC
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 1
ROT
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lossiemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
INV
3 - 2
LOS
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 1
LOS
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 2
LOS
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 0
KEI
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 4
HUN
46%
22%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |