Rothes vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
ROT
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
ROT
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 1
INV
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 3
FRA
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
ELG
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 5
ELG
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
FRA
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
6 - 0
LOS
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 5
ELG
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |