Rothes vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
73.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
16º
10º
87
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 1
ROT
13%
17%
70%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 2
FOR
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 3
ROT
26%
22%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIC
1 - 1
ROT
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CPF
3 - 1
ROT
8%
12%
80%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | -2 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 2
BAN
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 4
BUC
5%
11%
84%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
7 - 1
TUR
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 2
LIN
17%
19%
64%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
1 - 2
BUC
6%
12%
82%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | +1 |