Roteña vs Tesorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+752%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UDR
1 - 2
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SRO
0 - 1
UDR
54%
23%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
UDR
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UDR
3 - 5
CDS
47%
24%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UDR
0 - 3
BCA
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UDT
1 - 1
SRO
33%
25%
42%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALG
4 - 1
UDT
58%
21%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UDT
2 - 3
XER
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
JER
2 - 1
UDT
71%
18%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
XER
1 - 3
UDT
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |