Rot-Weiss Essen vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
DIE
2 - 1
ROT
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ROT
2 - 1
AAA
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
WUP
1 - 2
ROT
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ROT
5 - 0
LIP
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
4 - 1
VFB
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 1
WEG
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 2
DIE
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
AAA
0 - 3
SPO
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
WUP
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
VFB
3 - 1
SPO
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |