Rot-Weiss Essen vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 1
LIP
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VER
0 - 1
ROT
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 4
KÖL
32%
27%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
S04
1 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
DIE
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LIP
0 - 1
SPO
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
VER
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 2
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 0
S04
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |