Roskilde vs Næstved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ROS
4 - 1
SKJ
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GVI
0 - 6
ROS
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ROS
1 - 0
B93
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 4
ROS
17%
22%
62%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ROS
2 - 1
B19
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NAE
2 - 2
SOL
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SKJ
1 - 5
NAE
18%
21%
60%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
NAE
2 - 0
LFA
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GVI
1 - 3
NAE
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NAE
5 - 2
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |