Romford vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 2
ROM
45%
23%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POT
1 - 2
ROM
68%
20%
13%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
ROM
5 - 1
STA
57%
20%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ROM
3 - 2
HTG
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TAK
2 - 3
ROM
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
FAR
0 - 1
CHM
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAU
0 - 0
CHM
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHM
6 - 1
KIN
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
CHM
1 - 0
OXF
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHM
3 - 4
HAV
26%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |