Romanese vs Vertovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
56.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
ROM
65%
20%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
GAV
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAL
5 - 0
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 3
MAR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vertovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VER
4 - 0
PON
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
VER
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
PON
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 0
VER
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VER
3 - 1
GAV
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |