Roman Glass St. George vs Thornbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roman Glass St. George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HPF
1 - 2
RGG
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
RGG
1 - 0
LON
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RGG
2 - 2
PTC
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RGG
3 - 2
TUF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WES
3 - 2
RGG
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Thornbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PTC
2 - 1
THO
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TUF
1 - 1
THO
33%
21%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
WES
34%
22%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WRF
1 - 2
THO
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
HPF
3 - 1
THO
72%
15%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |