Roma vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
ROM
3 - 0
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
FIO
2 - 0
ROM
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ROM
4 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ROM
0 - 0
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
TOR
0 - 2
NAP
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 1
TOR
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOR
52%
22%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |