Roma vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
ROM
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GEN
4 - 3
ROM
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
SHA
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 2
NAP
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
INT
5 - 3
ROM
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 2
CES
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
36%
28%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |