Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
ROM
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ROM
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
ROM
25%
25%
51%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 1
PAR
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 4
ACM
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAT
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |