Roma vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAT
3 - 2
ROM
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
GIR
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 1
ROM
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
5 - 1
UDI
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
2 - 2
WOL
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
JUV
4 - 2
ACM
49%
25%
27%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |