Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
7 - 1
KOS
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
KOS
3 - 3
ROM
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 7
ROM
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
ROM
3 - 1
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
66%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 3
JUV
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 1
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |