Roma vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 0
ROM
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 0
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
INT
2 - 0
ROM
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
JUV
3 - 0
SIE
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
RMA
1 - 0
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
JUV
16%
24%
60%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
UDI
69%
19%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 0
JUV
15%
24%
61%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |