Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 1
CLU
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROM
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 3
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |