Roma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
VIC
2 - 0
ROM
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
TRI
0 - 0
ROM
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 0
BOL
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FIO
3 - 1
GEN
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 3
LAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |