Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 2
ROM
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ROM
5 - 0
RCA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BET
5 - 2
ROM
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 3
ROM
9%
19%
72%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 0
SEV
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
NUO
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
VIR
90%
8%
2%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
FIO
9 - 0
LEV
92%
7%
1%
|
82 | 26 | 56 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FIO
11 - 0
POL
94%
5%
1%
|
82 | 8 | 74 | 0 |