Europa League . Last 16
Global 5-1
Roma vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
GEN
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
51%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
SPB
56%
21%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
ROM
18%
20%
62%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
SHA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 0
SHA
20%
23%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 1
ZOR
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
SHA
1 - 0
MTA
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
RYV
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |