Roma vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOD
0 - 1
ROM
17%
26%
58%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ROM
3 - 1
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LEC
0 - 3
ROM
18%
26%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 1
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ACM
1 - 0
EMP
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 0
PRG
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PAR
4 - 0
EMP
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
EMP
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |