Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ROM
2 - 1
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 3
ROM
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
FIO
7 - 1
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 3
ROM
38%
25%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 4
FRO
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 1
BOL
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 2
JUV
12%
22%
66%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |