Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 0
GIR
60%
21%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CHI
0 - 1
ROM
20%
24%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
CLU
1 - 3
ROM
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BOL
5 - 2
TOR
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
REG
2 - 2
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GEN
1 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 1
BOL
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |