Roma vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
REG
0 - 0
ROM
18%
26%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
ROM
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
4 - 1
INT
56%
22%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 0
GAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 0
BRE
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
SAM
3 - 2
BOL
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PRG
4 - 2
BOL
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |