Europa League . Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Roma vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
ROM
0 - 2
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROM
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 1
ROM
49%
23%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
ROM
4 - 1
FEY
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 2
KOL
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 0
LEV
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
RBL
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
LEV
41%
24%
36%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 0
LEV
28%
24%
49%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |