Roma U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
1º
44
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ASR
4 - 0
FIO
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
ASR
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ASR
5 - 0
SAM
83%
11%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
EMP
1 - 0
ASR
23%
20%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
ASR
2 - 1
LEC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
EMP
0 - 0
GEN
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 2
LEC
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
30%
21%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 1
BOL
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
1 - 0
GEN
43%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |