Campionato Nazionale Under-17 Grupo C round 16

Roma U17 vs Ascoli U17 analysis

Roma U17 Ascoli U17
49 ELO 18
22.3% Tilt 19.1%
5279º General ELO ranking 39561º
190º Country ELO ranking 1195º
ELO win probability
91.7%
Roma U17
6.3%
Draw
2%
Ascoli U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.6%
Win probability
Roma U17
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
8.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2%
Win probability
Ascoli U17
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma U17
-29%
-6%
Ascoli U17

Points and table prediction

Roma U17
Their league position
Ascoli U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
19
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorentina U17
64
64
100%
Empoli U17
58
58
100%
Roma U17
56
56
100%
Lazio U17
37
37
0%
Frosinone U17
37
37
0%
Palermo U17
35
35
100%
Salernitana U17
33
33
100%
SSC Bari U17
32
32
100%
Catanzaro U17
21
21
100%
Lecce U17
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Ascoli U17
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Nuova Cosenza U17
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Ternana Calcio U17
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roma U17
Ascoli U17
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Roma U17
Ascoli U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma U17
Roma U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro U17
0 - 1
Roma U17
ROM
6%
11%
83%
49 17 32 0
17 Dec. 2023
FIO
Fiorentina U17
2 - 1
Roma U17
ROM
30%
22%
48%
50 45 5 -1
10 Dec. 2023
ROM
Roma U17
2 - 1
Lazio U17
LAZ
77%
14%
10%
50 39 11 0
03 Dec. 2023
SAL
Salernitana U17
0 - 6
Roma U17
ROM
3%
11%
86%
50 16 34 0
19 Nov. 2023
ROM
Roma U17
3 - 0
Ternana Calcio U17
TER
94%
5%
1%
50 18 32 0

Matches

Ascoli U17
Ascoli U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
ASC
Ascoli U17
3 - 1
Catanzaro U17
FCC
48%
21%
31%
16 16 0 0
14 Jan. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U17
1 - 5
Ascoli U17
ASC
92%
6%
2%
13 46 33 +3
17 Dec. 2023
LAZ
Lazio U17
5 - 0
Ascoli U17
ASC
91%
7%
2%
13 38 25 0
10 Dec. 2023
ASC
Ascoli U17
0 - 1
Salernitana U17
SAL
45%
23%
32%
14 14 0 -1
03 Dec. 2023
TER
Ternana Calcio U17
0 - 0
Ascoli U17
ASC
72%
15%
12%
13 18 5 +1