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Eerste Divisie. Matchday 4

Roda JC vs NAC Breda analysis

Roda JC NAC Breda
61 ELO 56
35% Tilt 53%
384º General ELO ranking 582º
17º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Roda JC
21.3%
Draw
24.3%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
Roda JC
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.3%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

57
43
POS
10
12
SOT
4
3
COR
1
3
GF
3
1
GC
18
8
FRK
61
56
ELO
2.1
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Roda JC
Their league position
NAC Breda
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
Roda JC
NAC Breda