Rochdale vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LEY
2 - 1
ROC
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 2
DAG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BRO
2 - 1
ROC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 1
YEO
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EXE
1 - 0
ROC
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
UNM
2 - 1
COL
43%
23%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
OSS
0 - 3
UNM
24%
24%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UNM
5 - 0
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
UNM
4 - 1
OSS
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MIC
2 - 0
UNM
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |