Rochdale vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
ROC
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 0
OLD
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 0
COV
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BCF
0 - 0
ROC
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SHE
3 - 2
ROC
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIG
1 - 0
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 2
COV
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 2
OLD
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
2 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 2
POS
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |