FA Cup . 1/128
Global 3-2
Rochdale vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
ROC
37%
26%
38%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 2
SUT
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 0
ROC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRO
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 1
STO
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
TAM
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 0
NOT
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |