FA Cup . 1/32
Global 2-5
Rochdale vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
72%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
STA
1 - 2
ROC
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
GIL
1 - 0
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 3
FLE
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
BUR
3 - 1
ROC
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 2
ROC
20%
21%
60%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 3
LEI
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
CRY
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |