Roccella vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 2
ROC
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 0
FCS
15%
22%
62%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SSC
3 - 2
ROC
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
HYR
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROC
89%
9%
2%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MES
0 - 1
MDR
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
STO
78%
14%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |