Roccella vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEL
4 - 0
ROC
73%
18%
9%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 1
BIA
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
ACI
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
ROT
3 - 3
ROC
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CCI
2 - 1
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 1
USC
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
USC
1 - 0
ROT
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 3
USC
56%
25%
19%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
CCI
47%
25%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 2
USC
57%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |