Roccella vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 2
ACI
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LOC
1 - 0
ROC
35%
23%
43%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
TUR
5 - 0
ROC
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
USC
0 - 1
ROT
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 1
USC
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
USC
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
USC
1 - 3
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |