Roccella vs Santa Maria Cilento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 1
GEL
15%
23%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
58%
24%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
6 - 0
ROC
71%
19%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
ROT
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DAT
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
PAT
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
SMC
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
SMC
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
0 - 1
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |