Segunda Categoría - Ecuador . 1/16
Global 1-1
Rocafuerte vs LDU de Portoviejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocafuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 1
ROC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BON
0 - 3
ROC
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ROC
1 - 0
BON
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 0
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
ROC
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
LDU de Portoviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 1
ROC
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CSM
1 - 2
LDU
17%
23%
61%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 1
CSM
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 3
LDU
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LDU
1 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |