RM Castilla vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 1
RMC
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RMC
2 - 1
GET
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDS
4 - 0
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
RMC
1 - 2
CDT
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
2 - 1
RMC
15%
24%
61%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
MAJ
37%
27%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ROD
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TAL
5 - 0
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
LEI
52%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |