SITHOC vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
SIT
0 - 0
COL
44%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 1
SIT
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
SIT
1 - 0
SUB
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 0
SIT
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SIT
0 - 2
HOL
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SVV
1 - 1
HOL
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
HUB
1 - 1
SVV
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
SVV
0 - 0
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2013 |
SVV
1 - 3
BAR
53%
25%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SVV
2 - 3
COL
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |