Riverside Olympic vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
0.8%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
0.4%
2-1
0.3%
3-2
0.1%
+1
0.7%
3.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
3.5%
95.7%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
14.3%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
18.3%
0-5
11.6%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
14.2%
0-6
7.8%
1-7
1.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
9.3%
0-7
4.5%
1-8
0.7%
2-9
0%
-7
5.3%
0-8
2.3%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
2.6%
0-9
1%
1-10
0.1%
-9
1.2%
0-10
0.4%
1-11
0%
-10
0.5%
0-11
0.2%
1-12
0%
-11
0.2%
0-12
0.1%
-12
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+178%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
9º
8º
44
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 1 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
SOU
ROF
HOB
OLY
KIN
GLE
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riverside Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO ROF | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
HOB
3 - 2
ROF
48%
27%
26%
|
208 | 300 | 92 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
OLY
5 - 1
ROF
47%
27%
26%
|
210 | 245 | 35 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ROF
0 - 1
KIN
46%
27%
26%
|
211 | 148 | 63 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ROF
1 - 0
LAU
46%
27%
26%
|
213 | 154 | 59 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GLE
4 - 2
ROF
42%
28%
31%
|
215 | 160 | -55 | -2 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SOU | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
DEV
4 - 1
SOU
46%
27%
27%
|
383 | 344 | -39 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
GLE
51%
26%
23%
|
381 | 162 | 219 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CLA
1 - 6
SOU
39%
28%
32%
|
379 | 135 | -244 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 2
KIN
39%
28%
32%
|
147 | 381 | -234 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 3
OLY
47%
27%
26%
|
381 | 242 | 139 | 0 |