Ríver vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1978 |
CEA
2 - 0
RIV
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 0
FOR
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
MOT
0 - 0
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
NOR
2 - 0
RIV
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAL
31%
31%
38%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
MOT
1 - 0
PAL
23%
27%
51%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 1
COM
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
6 - 0
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAL
51%
27%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |