Ríver vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 2
FLA
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ECT
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 1
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
4DE
81%
13%
5%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 1
4DE
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 2
FPI
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PIC
3 - 1
4DE
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
4DE
2 - 0
PIC
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |