River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CEL
2 - 4
RIV
40%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
RIV
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
LFC
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
CSC
3 - 1
RIV
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
LFC
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CSC
0 - 0
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NAC
28%
28%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CSY
0 - 0
PRO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |