River Plate Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CER
3 - 2
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
PLA
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 1
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 4
BOS
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 2
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 2
NAC
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
RAC
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |