River Plate Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
BVS
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
FEN
4 - 1
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
RIV
4 - 2
MWA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
RIV
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
JUN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |